Jan 23, 2021 22:12:15 GMT KING KID said:

Also UT; Adams/Beasley TD parlay?

Shall we?

Lol how much does it pay?

Jan 23, 2021 22:28:56 GMT UT said:

Jan 23, 2021 22:12:15 GMT KING KID said:

Also UT; Adams/Beasley TD parlay?

Shall we?

Lol how much does it pay?

+481

I’m going to probably drop $40-$50 on it. Nothing wild.

Jan 23, 2021 21:52:56 GMT KING KID said:

You guys placing any bets for tomorrow?

I’m about to drop $200 on Chiefs -9.5 because I think they’re going to SMASH the fucking Bills.

My bet last week was covered because it was my first, so I put that tiny amount on both the Chiefs and Packers covering.

Jan 23, 2021 22:29:43 GMT KING KID said:

Jan 23, 2021 22:28:56 GMT UT said:

Lol how much does it pay?

+481

I’m going to probably drop $40-$50 on it. Nothing wild.

Geez I could only find it at +388 ... not quite 4/1 seems like bad money.

Scotty Miller and Beasley are +1400. With Brown out it might be worth a shot. Maybe I’ll make the bet for shits and giggle.

Nevermind I can parlay Adams scoring twice and Beasley once for +1100

Jan 23, 2021 22:42:15 GMT UT said:

Jan 23, 2021 22:29:43 GMT KING KID said:

+481

I’m going to probably drop $40-$50 on it. Nothing wild.

Geez I could only find it at +388 ... not quite 4/1 seems like bad money.

DraftKings has it at +481, idk. I also have a 25% boost on any parlay with a Max bet of $50. Might drop it there and raise it to +602. So I might just do the whole $50 max on it.

I’m also looking at Mercedes Lewis for that game.

Jan 23, 2021 22:46:07 GMT UT said:

Nevermind I can parlay Adams scoring twice and Beasley once for +1100

As much as Beasley is one of Allen's favourite targets, he's a 3rd down/short pass guy. He only has 4 TDs this year. Allen likes hitting Knox and Diggs in the end zone.

BUT....Davis is probably out so Beasley might become his third option. And one of Beasley's TDs this year was against KC.

I just can't do today , can it be 5:30 yet so I just know what happens? Too much nervous energy.

I mean I know we should win , I truly believe we are the better all around team and being home and the weather should all tilt to our favor... but I just know how that tends to go.

Predicition/hope:

Packers 30
Buccaneers 20



I really want to watch the second game too , but if the Packers lose I won't be in any mood I'm sure. It'll be interesting though and I think could be an incredibly fun game. I think Buffalo has the hotter/better defense right now but KC has the experience and Mahomes who's been through it before.

KC - 37
BUF - 28

Kansas City pulls away late. I would be happy for Buffalo if they made it though so no problems being wrong.


If the Packers win though I think Rodgers/Mahomes would be the most fun. If the Packers lose than I don't care , because fuck Tom Brady.

I've got the Chiefs and Packers to edge two ridiculously close games. I can't dismiss the Bucs with Brady even if it will be cold enough for your balls to fall off. Too much experience and know-how, but I think the Packers consistency offensively will win the day.

It will be interesting, if it's a snow game, to see how well the Packers the run the ball against Vea. If Vea is healthy and showing no rust, that could get complicated for Green Bay.

I have a similar lack of conviction in the Chiefs/Bills game, perhaps even moreso. Experience weighs in their favour - this is all very new for Buffalo - and in a tense, tight game which these often are, the Chiefs have more playmakers to pull something out of their ass and get the job done.

I think Mahomes versus whoever from the NFC is money.

State Farm Super Bowl against Aaron Rodgers is money.

Mahomes vs Brady speaks for itself.

Also if the Chiefs lose; I probably won’t post on PW for a week or some shit out of heartbreak.

Really think it’s going to be Chiefs/Packers though.

Jan 24, 2021 15:20:16 GMT Todd said:

I've got the Chiefs and Packers to edge two ridiculously close games. I can't dismiss the Bucs with Brady even if it will be cold enough for your balls to fall off. Too much experience and know-how, but I think the Packers consistency offensively will win the day.

It will be interesting, if it's a snow game, to see how well the Packers the run the ball against Vea. If Vea is healthy and showing no rust, that could get complicated for Green Bay.

I have a similar lack of conviction in the Chiefs/Bills game, perhaps even moreso. Experience weighs in their favour - this is all very new for Buffalo - and in a tense, tight game which these often are, the Chiefs have more playmakers to pull something out of their ass and get the job done.

Weather shouldn’t be too bad , high 20s with snow stopping right before the game. Not Tampa weather obviously but manageable.

Then again I’m from here so high 20s is like summertime in January.

I placed 4 bets!

BET 1: $50 +25% bonus to win $737.50
Gronkowski TD
Beasley TD

BET 2: $70 to win $560
Marcedes Lewis TD

BET 3: $70 to win $437.50
Demarcus Robinson TD/KC Win

BET 4: $106.05 to win $371.18
KC -9.5

By all accounts, Green Bay should murder Tampa Bay. Green Bay isn't the same team that Tampa beat earlier in the year. Not even close.

Tampa's defence is hot but Rodgers is a killer and he's going to pick them apart. All the Packers D needs to do is stop playoff Tom Brady...

I can see Tampa's defence keeping it close and a relatively low scoring 1st half, then Rodgers and Adams just light it up in the 2nd. Brady can't keep up. 34-20 Packers.

...

I'm not making any predictions about the other game. I expect KC to win, but if Mahomes is off because of his head or Buffalo's defence shows up like they did against Baltimore, who knows.

Jan 24, 2021 17:22:39 GMT RT said:

By all accounts, Green Bay should murder Tampa Bay. Green Bay isn't the same team that Tampa beat earlier in the year. Not even close.

Tampa's defence is hot but Rodgers is a killer and he's going to pick them apart. All the Packers D needs to do is stop playoff Tom Brady...

I can see Tampa's defence keeping it close and a relatively low scoring 1st half, then Rodgers and Adams just light it up in the 2nd. Brady can't keep up. 34-20 Packers.

...

I'm not making any predictions about the other game. I expect KC to win, but if Mahomes is off because of his head or Buffalo's defence shows up like they did against Baltimore, who knows.

Much easier said that done.  And the Packers defense has got to show up today.

I know this sounds crazy to say but no AB can be a problem. The only way TB wins this game is if Scott Miller or Tyler Johnson have one of those games where an irrelevant player becomes the difference maker.

On paper; the Buccaneers have the much better team. It’s a monster clash.

If Jaire locks down Evans like he’s capable then it comes down to Godwin and Miller with the two tight ends, and playoff Lenny. The thing about the Bucs though is they are incredibly sloppy and undisciplined - being in Lambeau could really hurt them and if they sit in 3rd and 10 all day then I trust the defense.

Offensively we need to be patient and take our calculated shots down the seams. You aren’t beating the Bucs sideline to sideline, also wouldn’t be shocked to see a bit more Williams and Dillon in this game over Jones.

Let Bowles blitz though and get rid of the ball fast. Fun fact: Rodgers hasn’t taken a sack against the blitz since the last Tampa game.

Jan 24, 2021 17:26:09 GMT thereallt said:

Jan 24, 2021 17:22:39 GMT RT said:

By all accounts, Green Bay should murder Tampa Bay. Green Bay isn't the same team that Tampa beat earlier in the year. Not even close.

Tampa's defence is hot but Rodgers is a killer and he's going to pick them apart. All the Packers D needs to do is stop playoff Tom Brady...

I can see Tampa's defence keeping it close and a relatively low scoring 1st half, then Rodgers and Adams just light it up in the 2nd. Brady can't keep up. 34-20 Packers.

...

I'm not making any predictions about the other game. I expect KC to win, but if Mahomes is off because of his head or Buffalo's defence shows up like they did against Baltimore, who knows.

Much easier said that done.  And the Packers defense has got to show up today.

Absolutely.

And not just play off Brady, but 2020(21) Brady. He's a very good season in a completely different system and he's got better as the weeks have gone on. I think people are sleeping on Brady a little bit.

Jan 24, 2021 17:30:34 GMT UT said:

If Jaire locks down Evans like he’s capable then it comes down to Godwin and Miller with the two tight ends, and playoff Lenny. The thing about the Bucs though is they are incredibly sloppy and undisciplined - being in Lambeau could really hurt them and if they sit in 3rd and 10 all day then I trust the defense.

Offensively we need to be patient and take our calculated shots down the seams. You aren’t beating the Bucs sideline to sideline, also wouldn’t be shocked to see a bit more Williams and Dillon in this game over Jones.

Let Bowles blitz though and get rid of the ball fast. Fun fact: Rodgers hasn’t taken a sack against the blitz since the last Tampa game.

I don’t know if Dillon is 100% to be honest. He might not get much play. 

I can’t wait to see Suh gets unsportsmanlike conduct for hitting Rodgers though. 

Jan 24, 2021 17:27:27 GMT KING KID said:

I know this sounds crazy to say but no AB can be a problem. The only way TB wins this game is if Scott Miller or Tyler Johnson have one of those games where an irrelevant player becomes the difference maker.

On paper; the Buccaneers have the much better team. It’s a monster clash.

They don’t have the much better team on Paper.

Even without Bahktiari the Packers still have the top rated player on PFF at four different positions. QB , WR , CB and Center. Plus Zadariius being second team all pro.

The Bucs have two second team all pros.

The Packers are not the lesser team on Paper.

Jan 24, 2021 17:31:18 GMT Todd said:

Jan 24, 2021 17:26:09 GMT thereallt said:

Much easier said that done.  And the Packers defense has got to show up today.

Absolutely.

And not just play off Brady, but 2020(21) Brady. He's a very good season in a completely different system and he's got better as the weeks have gone on. I think people are sleeping on Brady a little bit.

I don’t think people are sleeping on Brady. He didn’t look great against Washington or New Orleans. The defense carried them over New Orleans or they would’ve lost that game. All their TDS came off of big interceptions giving them great field position. Washington is what they are too and had a 3rd/4th string QB playing. 

Jan 24, 2021 17:36:00 GMT KING KID said:

Jan 24, 2021 17:31:18 GMT Todd said:

Absolutely.

And not just play off Brady, but 2020(21) Brady. He's a very good season in a completely different system and he's got better as the weeks have gone on. I think people are sleeping on Brady a little bit.

I don’t think people are sleeping on Brady. He didn’t look great against Washington or New Orleans. The defense carried them over New Orleans or they would’ve lost that game. All their TDS came off of big interceptions giving them great field position. Washington is what they are too and had a 3rd/4th string QB playing. 

Oh and Amos is the 2nd rated safety.

Jan 24, 2021 17:35:09 GMT UT said:

Jan 24, 2021 17:27:27 GMT KING KID said:

I know this sounds crazy to say but no AB can be a problem. The only way TB wins this game is if Scott Miller or Tyler Johnson have one of those games where an irrelevant player becomes the difference maker.

On paper; the Buccaneers have the much better team. It’s a monster clash.

They don’t have the much better team on Paper.

Even without Bahktiari the Packers still have the top rated player on PFF at four different positions. QB , WR , CB and Center. Plus Zadariius being second team all pro.

The Bucs have two second team all pros.

The Packers are not the lesser team on Paper.

Maybe I’m basing it off of star power. 

Obviously Davante is the best in the game but then who do you compare to Godwin? MVS and Lazard? Eh. Gronk/Brate are a better TE duo too. 

Bucs D is much better of a team too. 

All I know is I’m just really happy that we are FINALLY getting Brady vs Rodgers in a playoff game and it’s just about as big of a playoff game as it can be.

I also guarantee they face off in next years playoff game too but probably in the divisional round or some shit. This won’t be no one and done.

Jan 24, 2021 17:36:00 GMT KING KID said:

Jan 24, 2021 17:31:18 GMT Todd said:

Absolutely.

And not just play off Brady, but 2020(21) Brady. He's a very good season in a completely different system and he's got better as the weeks have gone on. I think people are sleeping on Brady a little bit.

I don’t think people are sleeping on Brady. He didn’t look great against Washington or New Orleans. The defense carried them over New Orleans or they would’ve lost that game. All their TDS came off of big interceptions giving them great field position. Washington is what they are too and had a 3rd/4th string QB playing. 

Washington and New Orleans are top 5 defenses. Green Bay is above-average. I have my doubts they can slow him down.

I have bigger doubts the Tampa Bay defense (or anybody, for that matter) can slow Green Bay down.

Jan 24, 2021 17:37:09 GMT KING KID said:

Jan 24, 2021 17:35:09 GMT UT said:

They don’t have the much better team on Paper.

Even without Bahktiari the Packers still have the top rated player on PFF at four different positions. QB , WR , CB and Center. Plus Zadariius being second team all pro.

The Bucs have two second team all pros.

The Packers are not the lesser team on Paper.

Maybe I’m basing it off of star power. 

Obviously Davante is the best in the game but then who do you compare to Godwin? MVS and Lazard? Eh. Gronk/Brate are a better TE duo too. 

Bucs D is much better of a team too. 

Tonyan has more touchdowns than both those guys combined. Yes Godwin is a better #2 and that’s what I’ll concede.

Packers have a better pass defense , Bucs have a better run defense and they are almost the same in points allowed.

Jan 24, 2021 17:40:45 GMT Todd said:

Jan 24, 2021 17:36:00 GMT KING KID said:

I don’t think people are sleeping on Brady. He didn’t look great against Washington or New Orleans. The defense carried them over New Orleans or they would’ve lost that game. All their TDS came off of big interceptions giving them great field position. Washington is what they are too and had a 3rd/4th string QB playing. 

Washington and New Orleans are top 5 defenses. Green Bay is above-average. I have my doubts they can slow him down.

I have bigger doubts the Tampa Bay defense (or anybody, for that matter) can slow Green Bay down.

We’ll find out soon enough. 

As an AVID Chiefs fan, I’ll tell you I would rather face the Buccaneers in the Super Bowl then the Packers. Chiefs D would be easy for Rodgers to feast on and both teams will probably put up 40+ in that game. 

I don’t think TB can keep up though. 

Also IF the Chiefs win; Tyreek Hill could possibly face off against White and Alexander in back to back games. That makes me think the Cheetah won’t be that big of a factor for these potential next two games which means the Chiefs are going to need CEH or another X Factor to step up to win. 

Jan 24, 2021 17:42:38 GMT UT said:

Jan 24, 2021 17:37:09 GMT KING KID said:

Maybe I’m basing it off of star power. 

Obviously Davante is the best in the game but then who do you compare to Godwin? MVS and Lazard? Eh. Gronk/Brate are a better TE duo too. 

Bucs D is much better of a team too. 

Tonyan has more touchdowns than both those guys combined. Yes Godwin is a better #2 and that’s what I’ll concede.

Packers have a better pass defense , Bucs have a better run defense and they are almost the same in points allowed.

That’s because Tonyan is basically their number two receiver. It gets murky and unsure after Adams/Tonyan. They need to hope Aaron Jones doesn’t get shut down too bad also. 

Adams and Tonyan will get most of the attention today which is why a Marcedes Lewis TD is INEVITABLE! 

Jan 24, 2021 17:42:38 GMT UT said:

Jan 24, 2021 17:37:09 GMT KING KID said:

Maybe I’m basing it off of star power. 

Obviously Davante is the best in the game but then who do you compare to Godwin? MVS and Lazard? Eh. Gronk/Brate are a better TE duo too. 

Bucs D is much better of a team too. 

Tonyan has more touchdowns than both those guys combined. Yes Godwin is a better #2 and that’s what I’ll concede.

Packers have a better pass defense , Bucs have a better run defense and they are almost the same in points allowed.

That’s because Tonyan is basically their number two receiver. It gets murky and unsure after Adams/Tonyan. They need to hope Aaron Jones doesn’t get shut down too bad also. 

Adams and Tonyan will get most of the attention today which is why a Marcedes Lewis TD is INEVITABLE!