Jul 28, 2019 23:26:56 GMT @admin said:

Jul 27, 2019 1:41:04 GMT Blindy said:

Hurries are sort of skewed because they count QBs who escape the pocket as a hurry correct? It's a flawed Stat when the QB game is so heavily focused on throwing on the run and in/out of the pocket

He hadn't a sack in how many weeks? 2.5 of his seven sacks were in a meaningless Week 17 game against the Cowboys and six of his seven sacks on the year came in December when the Giants were out of it. He was a pure nonfactor from Sept to Nov, but yes he had a strong December month as the teams go to pass rusher.

Maybe going back to the 4-3 will be more up his alley but he wasnt all that great last year sorry.

I won't even bring up the number of late borderline dirty hits he caused when with Miami and he had 1-2 dirty hits with the Gmen too. His knee shot on Mariota a couple years ago is Bush league.

Hurries are a better reflection of a pass rushers overall productivity than sacks - because sacks can often the result of a defender being unblocked due to scheme, or doing a cleanup job when a quarterback has been flushed out of the pocket towards them. Aaron Donald didn't just become the best defender in the NFL last season because he had a career year in sacks. 

By your example schemes allowing an open rusher to go after the QB would count as a hurry just as much as a sack would. Sacks count for negative yardage on a play and is a good way to indicate how prolific a pass rusher is for their team because the significance of a sack sets up downs better for defenses to get off the field. Of course it isn't the end all be all and sackers benefit from a quality interior player(Aaron Donald) or a secondary that gives little to no space for separation("Coverage sack") sure but I put more value in how many sacks a pass rusher can get over the hurries they get, it shows that someone can finish vs someone that cannot. Vernon as the premier pass rusher taking so long to register a sack or real impact of the game regardless of injury was one of the reasons the Giants were so bad last year and were scored upon easily at times. 

Donald won it due to being the core player of a great defense, an earned reputation around the league as a premier talent and being versatile along with being a very stout run stopper and someone who commands double teams allowing teammates to flourish. 

Jul 31, 2019 23:27:44 GMT @admin said:

I know he was really not great in the first three quarters of that playoff game, but the impact that has apparently had on the way Jackson is perceived heading into the new season is ridiculously overblown. Double his statline from his seven regular season starts and you have 3800 total yards and 22 touchdowns. Sam Darnold had 3000 yards and 17 touchdowns and everyone acts like he is already locked in as the next great franchise quarterback.

I like Baltimore because they are going the complete opposite route to the rest of the league. Lamar, Ingram, Gus the Bus all running the ball behind that offensive front is cool just because it's different. I also think Greg Roman is a really underrated offensive coach who has a very strong record calling effective run attacks with limited passing quarterbacks like Colin Kaepernick and Tyrod Taylor.

Darnold finished the year strong, Lamar didn't for the final 2 games and for rookie QBs not only does it leave a better lasting impression but you in fact would like to see progression in a course of a season rather than regression. Darnold had some NFL highs for his final few week performance if I recall so I would put more emphasis on that over what was done in the first half, especially when he started Day one(Fair or unfair) and Lamar took the 2nd half of the year to get into the game after having the advantage of digesting the speed of the game(Which is where Darnold's lights went out after his few game injury). Add that he upgraded in coaching with Gase vs Bates and I see why people are high on Darnold(He's no slam dunk but he isn't a bust either which is what I am getting at)

Lamar is away from Marty Morninweg who runs a somewhat outdated WC offense so I would expect better things out of him in Roman's offense(Even if Roman is a predictable playcaller). 

Lamar Jackson is fucking terrible. Teams had a chance to study and stop him in the playoffs and he was exposed with a proper game plan.

I don’t care how dynamic of an athlete you might be , if teams don’t fear you passing the ball it’s only a matter of time before they shut down the rest of your game.

Texans should be moving heaven and fucking earth to trade for Trent Williams. No excuse. Use the Clowney money. Stop trying to win the cap space Olympics, it's pointless. Spend it.

I think Jackson will struggle but no doubt Ravens are hugely interesting. If he can make progress with his arm he'll be a solid quarterback. I think it's too early to write him off personally.

Hey Blindy . I wonder if you heard that Ryan Kalil is coming out of retirement, and is signing with the Jets?

Aug 1, 2019 18:45:05 GMT CM Punk'd said:

Hey Blindy . I wonder if you heard that Ryan Kalil is coming out of retirement, and is signing with the Jets?

BUT THAT'S NOT EVEN THE REAL NEWS OF THE DAY!

Theo Riddick has signed with the Denver Broncos AND Melvin Gordon's agent has requested a trade.... like officially.

Hunch I got is Melvin Gordon getting traded to the Colts and will fuck us fantasy owners and the Mack owners up. They got the cap room to give him what he wants, just a matter if the Bolts want to accommodate a AFC contender. They out to ride Mack to the moon but it's a two back league these days and their backup is Hines who is a smaller scatback. 

Happy for Riddick, decent scatterback but between the two stud rookies the Broncos have, I guess Riddick is meant as a mentor for them and maybe a pass catcher ala Sproles.


Kalil last year was pretty bad for Carolina but he was hurt(Which is expected) so I wonder how much better he will be and how good shape he is. He will be on ultimate rest for the preseason and he can at least snap the ball which is more than what Spencer Long provided for the Jets with the amount of bad snaps Darnold got due to Long playing with one hand and Bowles having no concept that a one armed center is practically useless. I don't trust Jonattan Harrison one bit so I guess this is ok. But I don't think Kalil plays the full 16+ so someone will have to step up.

As always this is an injury laden OLIne between Osmele, scrub azz Winters and Kalil but that interior will make or break this team especially if they feed Bell and be run first, pass second which is likely.

I doubt Melvin Gordon goes to Indy. They love Marlon Mack out there and all I have heard is rave reviews about him so far this off-season. He's a stud RB on his own right. No need to grab Melvin.

However, Tampa Bay could really use his services even though Arians is talking up this Barber/ROJO battle. But Melvin would thrive in that offense and if he goes there, I would be sold on TB winning that division.

Aug 1, 2019 19:47:21 GMT KING KID said:

I doubt Melvin Gordon goes to Indy. They love Marlon Mack out there and all I have heard is rave reviews about him so far this off-season. He's a stud RB on his own right. No need to grab Melvin.

However, Tampa Bay could really use his services even though Arians is talking up this Barber/ROJO battle. But Melvin would thrive in that offense and if he goes there, I would be sold on TB winning that division.

With the worst quarterback in the division? No chance.

Aug 1, 2019 23:24:32 GMT UT said:

Aug 1, 2019 19:47:21 GMT KING KID said:

I doubt Melvin Gordon goes to Indy. They love Marlon Mack out there and all I have heard is rave reviews about him so far this off-season. He's a stud RB on his own right. No need to grab Melvin.

However, Tampa Bay could really use his services even though Arians is talking up this Barber/ROJO battle. But Melvin would thrive in that offense and if he goes there, I would be sold on TB winning that division.

With the worst quarterback in the division? No chance.

Bruce Arians revived the career of Carson Palmer who was an absolute bum with Oakland and got pushed/forced himself out of Cincinnati. Carson Palmer went on to have a great ending to his career with Arians and he has a Super Bowl appearance on his resume WITH an aged Kurt Warner. Jameis Winston has the potential to be a star with Arians as his HC and I would not be surprised if Winston has a career year and would not be surprised if they win this division if their defense improves. I can't wait to talk about that division, but I still have Cincinnati (ugh) and the AFC South (which is exciting) to talk about.

THE ROAD TO SUPER BOWL LIV
MIAMI, FLORIDA

CINCINNATI BENGALS








SHOOT FOR THE STARS!


It's a new year and for the first time in over a decade, the Cincinnati Bengals will have a new Head Coach. The Marvin Jones era came to an end with a season full of promise that got destroyed by injuries. Their O-Line suffered injuries and were abysmal. Andy Dalton missed 5 games and AJ Green missed 7 games; both with injuries. They even bought drama to their team last season by adding former HC of the rival Browns which got us some good ol' Baker Mayfield ownage.

A franchise who has had so much potential through the years. From the Palmer/Ocho/Houshmonzadeh days to the Dalton/Green days. This franchise has had a stain on them built off of stupidity. Former play, Vontaze Burfict ruined their last playoff game with a costly unnecessary roughness play in the final minute against his new teammate Antonio Brown. Two seasons ago, the Bengals were given the benefit of the doubt and became heroes in Buffalo for getting the Bills into the playoffs. Last season could've been a season to use injuries as an excuse, but it just became too much. The Cincinnati fans wanted a fresh start. A new face. A new leader.

Enter Zack Tayor. As the NFL picks off coaches from prolific coaching trees, the Bengals made their move. He is coming into his first season as a Head Coach and he is bringing along a first time Defensive Coordinator in Lou Anarumo. Basically, this franchise is going into complete rebuild mode.

EXCEPT there's still Andy Dalton. He is heading into this season as their starter and it could very well be his last. This offseason has already been a total disaster for this team with injuries to 1st round pick Jonah Williams and their best player AJ Green. This season is literally falling apart and it's only August 2nd. AJ Green is slated to miss a few weeks of the regular season. By the time he returns, he will need time to recover. It's just not enough time and not a good enough team. 

This team will be relying heavily on Joe Mixon (who somehow led the AFC in rushing yards last season) and Tyler Boyd to make his next step into supremacy as a WR. John Ross has looked like a one trick pony, but he's apparently trying to change his game this off season. Basically, keeping things short, this is a team at the BC ages of "rebuild mode". Because they haven't even started their rebuild yet when they're trotting out Andy Dalton. This doesn't take a genius to know, but this does not look like it's going to be an extremely rough season.


BOLD is for wins. ITALIC is for losses.

SEAHAWKS
49ERS
BILLS
STEELERS
CARDINALS
RAVENS
JAGUARS
RAMS
RAVENS
RAIDERS
STEELERS
JETS
BROWNS
PATRIOTS
DOLPHINS
BROWNS

PREDICTION:
3-13 RECORD


Basically, this team is going to be awful. I'm going to give them the win in the rookie coaching showdown against Arizona. They'll probably beat Jacksonville, too as I am predicting Jacksonville to just fall apart again this year. More on that in the next division. Then in the biggest showdown of the 2020 future, we get Miami versus Cincinnati. Week 16. Where the loser of the game is the winner of the Tua sweepstakes.


I can't predict or project if Andy Dalton will be healthy the whole year and I don't think he plays this deep into a losing season. As a matter of fact, I see Andy Dalton being the starting QB for either Tampa Bay or Tennessee in 2020. Especially if Winston and Marriota fail.

ANYWAYS; back to the Miami/Cincinnati showdown! It will probably be the worst played game ever and it probably will involve Josh Rosen going against rookie QB Ryan Finley. Both QB's will be playing for their jobs, technically, for the following season. In the end, Ryan Finley will lead his team to victory and get the Bengals out of drafting Tua and possibly being this franchises answer post-Rifle. Josh Rosen will fail and be sent off again for another #1 draft pick at QB.


From Murray to Tua to goodbye Rosen. Miami wins by losing.

Cincinnati finds a way to lose by winning.

Because ladies and gentlemen; the new era is the return of the BUNGALS!

Or I could be completely wrong on this. Maybe Zack Taylor is a mad genius. Maybe Andy Dalton has an MVP-like season. Maybe Boyd and Mixon hold that offense up until AJ Green comes back like the great WR that he is. MAYBE the Cincinnati Bengals are the surprise dark horse in not only the AFC North, but all of the NFL.

WARNING:
If you attempt to pull the trigger on Cincinnati and shoot for the stars;

YOU'LL SHOOT YOUR EYES OUT!




FANTASY FOOTBALL: 12PPR ADP
CINCINNATI BENGALS
Joe Mixon (2.04)
AJ Green (4.10)
Tyler Boyd (5.08)
Giovanni Bernard (14.07)


Joe Mixon is rightfully the top pick. This dude quietly led the AFC in rushing yards at 22 years old AND HE MISSED GAMES TO INJURY!!!! That's phenomenal. He went into last season with a lot of hype as the "next Lev Bell". A lot of people are scared to go with him because of the deficiencies on the O-Line. I am probably not taking him in most drafts UNLESS he is my RB2. I like him going into this season, because who else is going to get the fucking ball? Gio?

Let me skip to the bottom of the list and talk about Giovanni Bernard who is somehow still on this roster. Not that he's bad, but for fantasy football, he's a fucking nightmare. Especially for Joe Mixon owners. He's there and as a handcuff, grabbing him in the 14th round is safe and smart. Would I like to roster him? It wouldn't hurt.

AJ Green going in the 4th round is a drop that has just started. His stock is most likely going to drop more in the next few weeks. He's missing regular season games and even when he returns, he's going to play injured. The days of AJ Green as a dominant fantasy football WR are gone, I'm afraid. Dude should really retire and save his legacy, before he gets remembered for being a broken down version of himself who is always injured. It's a shame, too, because dude was really good. I am not touching AJ Green in the 4th, 5th or 6th round. Maybe if he drops to the 7th-8th round, I might, but no chance beforehand.

Tyler Boyd has been all the hype for the Bengals. He's supposed to take the reign from AJ Green and be the "lead cat" of the receiving core. That's if you just buy into hype, but I don't like him. His splits with AJ on/off the field do not make Boyd look like he can be a WR1 on a team. While people are grabbing him in the 5th round, I am gladly taking Landry, Kirk, Pettis and Robbie Anderson. All who are going in that area. Sorry, I'm not sold on this guy. There is a chance he proves me wrong this year, but he can prove me wrong on someone elses roster.

Not really going to be trying to grab any player on this roster. Gio has the biggest potential at his draft rate, but if I were to own someone from this team, I am going for the ceiling and shooting for the stars.


MY FAVORITE FANTASY DRAFT PICK ON THIS TEAM: Joe Mixon (2.04)

2019 PREDICTION







Cleveland Browns- 11-5
Pittsburgh Steelers- 9-7
Baltimore Ravens- 6-10
Cincinnati Bengals- 3-13


The Cleveland Browns go from 'Jesters' to Kings. The Steelers stumble and crumble near the finish line. The Ravens change the running game, but it does not equate to wins. The Cincinnati Bengals go into the basement of the North with a top 3 pick in the upcoming NFL draft.

Aug 2, 2019 11:28:01 GMT KING KID said:

Aug 1, 2019 23:24:32 GMT UT said:

With the worst quarterback in the division? No chance.

Bruce Arians revived the career of Carson Palmer who was an absolute bum with Oakland and got pushed/forced himself out of Cincinnati. Carson Palmer went on to have a great ending to his career with Arians and he has a Super Bowl appearance on his resume WITH an aged Kurt Warner. Jameis Winston has the potential to be a star with Arians as his HC and I would not be surprised if Winston has a career year and would not be surprised if they win this division if their defense improves. I can't wait to talk about that division, but I still have Cincinnati (ugh) and the AFC South (which is exciting) to talk about.

I reject that media narrative that Arians just instantly fixes a quarterback. It's not true and the numbers bear it out. 

1. People over exaggerate how bad Palmer was in Oakland. He wasn't that bad and as the stats will show - he wasn't any better his first year under Arians. 

2. Arians has said himself that it takes a good 2-3 years before a quarterback really grasps his systems and his teachings and again , the numbers bear that out. He isn't going to just come in and fix Jameis with a snap of his magical fingers and Arians himself knows that. 


Carson in Oakland (2012):  
15 games 
61% Completion 
267.9 YPG
22 TD's 
14 INT's 
85.3 QB Rating 

Carson in Arizona (2013)
16 games 
63% Completions 
267.1 YPG
24 TD's 
22 INT's 
83.9 QB Rating 


So there it is , damn near the same season except for the fact that Palmer actually threw MORE interceptions in his first season with Arians than he did when he was a "bust" in Oakland and he did because of the growing pains accompanied by the first season. Jameis already is interception prone and I'm fearful of what's going to happen in his first year under Arians who isn't the instant patch people make him out to be. 

It's really been one of the more annoying things I've heard about this offseason because people get paid to have these opinions and they just aren't fucking true and no one actually goes back and looks what actually happened with Arians and Palmer and only remember him three years after arriving in Zona actually lighting up the league and being a top quarterback. 

So yeah Tampa Bay is going to be dead last unless their defense catapults to the Top Five (longshot but possible) and I have no faith in Jameis not to continue to be the worst quarterback in the division because as I've pointed out: Bruce Arians isn't the instant fix that the narrative would suggest. It takes him time and a ton of work. 

Jameis Winston is obviously the 'least talented' QB in that division, but Cam is going in there fresh off a throwing shoulder injury. Drew Brees is another year older and doesn't have the firepower he used to have with his arm. Matt Ryan is unpredictable, but is probably the best QB in that division. Jameis has the weapons and the HC. Say what you want about Arians and how he's not going to fix this team, but I guarantee you this is the best TB team that Winston will be playing on in his career. Mike Evans is going to have a huge year. Chris Godwin is going to emerge into a star. OJ Howard is going to be the new dominant TE. If they somehow get Melvin Gordon; it's over. No matter what you think.

Aug 2, 2019 17:03:51 GMT KING KID said:

Jameis Winston is obviously the 'least talented' QB in that division, but Cam is going in there fresh off a throwing shoulder injury. Drew Brees is another year older and doesn't have the firepower he used to have with his arm. Matt Ryan is unpredictable, but is probably the best QB in that division. Jameis has the weapons and the HC. Say what you want about Arians and how he's not going to fix this team, but I guarantee you this is the best TB team that Winston will be playing on in his career. Mike Evans is going to have a huge year. Chris Godwin is going to emerge into a star. OJ Howard is going to be the new dominant TE. If they somehow get Melvin Gordon; it's over. No matter what you think.

So just ignore the facts then , it’s not even just me saying it. It actually happened.

Keep talking about what’s going to happen though despite the knowledge of what’s actually happened.

Moving on.

I have no idea what you just tried to say....?

I'm arguing your point of "Winston being the worst QB in that division". Touche on the Palmer stats BUT they still went to the Super Bowl and were 2 ridiculous plays away from winning it.

Palmer never went to the Super Bowl. Nor did Arians. What are you talking about?

Point is , you like Tampa and I’m indifferent towards them. They could be more successful sure ... but it’s not going to be because Arians magically fixes Winston ... the narrative he’s capable of doing that in the first year is a lie.

That was Kurt Warner’s Cardinals that went to the Super Bowl.

Aug 2, 2019 18:20:44 GMT @theshow said:

That was Kurt Warner’s Cardinals that went to the Super Bowl.

And Ken Whisenhunt. :lol:

Aug 2, 2019 18:21:27 GMT UT said:

Aug 2, 2019 18:20:44 GMT @theshow said:

That was Kurt Warner’s Cardinals that went to the Super Bowl.

And Ken Whisenhunt. :lol:

I honestly couldn’t remember who coached that team LOL. All I remember and Warner and Fitzgerald doing work that postseason.

Also, I understand the concerns about Drew’s arm strength but I’ve been hearing those criticisms for the last 5 years and when a new season starts, he remains at the top of his game. He is still one of the smartest and most efficient passers in the league and the master of our offensive game plan. His arm has looked fine in training camp so far. Nothing to be overly concerned about yet. I do think as the season gets longer he may lose some strength again, but I do think they have the talent and coaching around him to work around that. He’s still the best QB in the division until proven otherwise. Matt Ryan and Cam Newton are good to great as well but still just below Brees to me.

Holy shit.

This whole time I thought Bruce Arians was their Head Coach~!

WELLLLLLLLLL.... THAT CHANGES EVERYTHING.

Jameis Winston is fucked.

PS- Yes, I know it was Kurt Warner. I'm angry responding and messing shit up!

Aug 2, 2019 18:42:59 GMT KING KID said:

Holy shit.

This whole time I thought Bruce Arians was their Head Coach~!

WELLLLLLLLLL.... THAT CHANGES EVERYTHING.

Jameis Winston is fucked.

PS- Yes, I know it was Kurt Warner. I'm angry responding and messing shit up!

He will throw for 4300 yards , 24 TDS & 18 INTs with like 5 fumbles. The Bucs will more than likely go 7-9 and Tampa will face an impossible decision this offseason.

Aug 2, 2019 18:45:47 GMT UT said:

Aug 2, 2019 18:42:59 GMT KING KID said:

Holy shit.

This whole time I thought Bruce Arians was their Head Coach~!

WELLLLLLLLLL.... THAT CHANGES EVERYTHING.

Jameis Winston is fucked.

PS- Yes, I know it was Kurt Warner. I'm angry responding and messing shit up!

He will throw for 4300 yards , 24 TDS & 18 INTs with like 5 fumbles. The Bucs will more than likely go 7-9 and Tampa will face an impossible decision this offseason.

This is what I think will happen too. Would be their worse case scenario. I actually have them finishing higher than Carolina this season and I think the division will come down to the Saints and the Dirty Birds.

Bruce Arians got to pick Logan Thomas as his QB and he was so bad Arians could not turn to him in the playoff game and stood with Ryan Lindley vs the Panthers during a wildcard game. Thomas was eventually converted to a TE that's how bad his accuracy was.

Winston's problem is his work ethic is god awful and he isn't a great athlete and his work ethic shows in the film room when he constantly got baited to throw turnovers last year which led to his benching for Fitztragic. Never worked in Monken's offense, I don't think Arians can do anything if Winston isn't going to put in the work. Fortunately, Jameis is in a contract year so he'll probably be the first guy in, last guy out and put up a good enough year to be a top dog in free agency and frustrate enough fanbase. Not even discussing his multiple off the field problems from Crableg-gate in FSU to his sexual abuse of a uber driver. I would not be surprised to see him do well this year but I would not pay the man anything substantial if I am looking for a QB for the long haul.

Arians flourished with blue chip prospects like Luck or Big Ben but he could not find a QB of the long haul in Arizona and that should fall on him as much as it should the GMs. He deserves credit for the aforementioned 2's success but at the same time, they have done well before and after Arians stint so how much credit should Arians get?

Aug 2, 2019 11:28:01 GMT KING KID said:

Aug 1, 2019 23:24:32 GMT UT said:

With the worst quarterback in the division? No chance.

Bruce Arians revived the career of Carson Palmer who was an absolute bum with Oakland and got pushed/forced himself out of Cincinnati. Carson Palmer went on to have a great ending to his career with Arians and he has a Super Bowl appearance on his resume WITH an aged Kurt Warner. Jameis Winston has the potential to be a star with Arians as his HC and I would not be surprised if Winston has a career year and would not be surprised if they win this division if their defense improves. I can't wait to talk about that division, but I still have Cincinnati (ugh) and the AFC South (which is exciting) to talk about.

Who is their defensive coordinator? Hopefully it isn't a guy who ran an undisciplined defense, could not find or identify cornerbacks where they had to pay Revis and Cromartie the big bucks to see both falter, shows little to no feel for adjustments, got handpicked first round talents under his wing who ran amok like Darron Lee or Mo Wilkerson or Shelden Richardson and still had a mediocre at best defense even with all of the offensive struggles.

This has been great Kid, loving the hell out of it. Lets get to the fucking AFC South already for crying out loud fuck!

How fly was that last night to have football back on the tube? Best feeling ever.

Yeah, great job Kid. Really enjoyed everything so far, good stuff.

THE ROAD TO SUPER BOWL LIV
MIAMI, FLORIDA

HOUSTON TEXANS







FIGHT SOMEONE IN REAL LIFE!



And here we are! Feeding the anticipation and excitement of guys like shinobimusashi and Todd . I present to you the reigning, defending AFC South Champions; The Houston Texans!

Last season they came in with everyones eyes on how Deshaun Watson and JJ Watt would perform post-injury. Needless to say, both showed up and showed out! JJ Watt was back to being the bad motherfucker that he is ending the season with 16 sacks and 7 forced fumbles. He took his career sack total up to 92. To be honest, I don't know if he'll ever crack the top 10 in sacks, but if he can continue this trend for the next 2 seasons he will be in the top 15-20. 

On the other side of the field, Deshaun Watson came back from his injury and played sufficient football. He came into his rookie season like a wrecking ball and after his injury, many were wondering. He put up a 4,165/26/9 season with a near identical 103.1 QBR. He did all this with his receivers Keke and Fuller battling injuries. They bought in Demaryius Thomas for the playoff run and he too got injured. This season was literally the Watson and Hopkins show. 

Deandre "Nuk" Hopkins was the best WR in the NFL last season. He had a career year with career highs in receptions (115) and yards (1,572). His best stat is this; DEANDRE HOPKINS HAD ZERO (0) DROPS LAST SEASON! That's fucking insane. Every time he got a ball thrown to his hands, he made the fucking catch. No catch was more amazing then this one:

And no play was more awesome then this one:









Are you not entertained? Deandre Hopkins was an absolute fucking blast to watch last season. All this with a fucking shoulder injury. It also being his first full season with an actual competent QB. Now you have to wonder how much better they are going to be in their second year together.

The team started off with 3 straight losses to open up the season last year. The calls for Bill O'Briens heads were getting louder by the minute. They ended up sneaking 2 OT wins in a row and ended up finishing that streak on an incredible 9 game winning streak. They won the division but lost in the Wildcard showdown against their division rivals, the Indianapolis Colts. 

Now they head into this season having lost The Honey Badger on defense and having Jadeveon Clowney holding out. The Texans were unable to get a contract done before the deadline and Clowney is not showing up to sign the franchise tag. Is Clowney going to sit out the whole season? I'm not sure. Apparently he is keeping in touch with teammates such as Johnathan Joseph, but a long term contract is not likely going to happen with him and this organization. There is a lot of talk about the Texans actually trading Jadeveon Clowney before this season. A trade to the Buffalo Bills has been getting some chatter. Whatever happens with him is going to be a major storyline for this team no matter the outcome.

The Houston Texans are coming into this season with the 4th hardest SOS. 6 teams make the playoffs in each conference. Houston was 1 of the 6 in the AFC. The other 5? Well, all 5 of the other AFC Playoff teams last season are on the Texans schedule this season. Insane. Let's take a look at their schedule and see where I have them projected to finish the year.



BOLD is for wins. ITALIC is for losses.


SAINTS
JAGUARS
CHARGERS
PANTHERS
FALCONS
CHIEFS
COLTS
RAIDERS
JAGUARS
RAVENS
COLTS
PATRIOTS
BRONCOS
TITANS
BUCCANEERS
TITANS

PREDICTION:
10-6 RECORD


You can actually feel that SOS as you are projecting wins/losses for this team. 

Two losses that will absolutely drive Shin mad this year will be the loss to the Ravens that will culminate to a loss to the Broncos extending the Texans in a 4 game losing streak. This team will literally go from a 7-2 team to a 7-6 team in a span of 4 games. They will go from pernnial Super Bowl favorites with wins over the Chiefs, Colts and a pair of AFC South teams all the way to "OFF WITH O'BRIENS HEAD" and in a 7-6 spot with a tough chance to make the playoffs.

I can see it now. 2 of the final 3 games being against the Tennessee Titans. Shin going crazy saying that the Titans still belong to Houston and he will forgive them for all of eternity if the Texans can just sweep them! The Texans need a lot to go their way. They need to win out AND have teams lose to get into the playoffs. Teams like the Chiefs, Steelers and/or Jets are going to need to crumble in the end. Houston is on the outside and looking in and they need a miracle!

And I am that miracle worker! As I previously stated, the Chiefs and Steelers fall apart in the end of the season. Shin and Todd go fucking apeshit as Watson goes into MVP killer mode and the Texans sweep the Titans and beat the Buccaneers and secure themselves into the playoffs with a 10-6 record. Since the Jets lost their Week 17 game against the Bills, the Texans not only secure a playoff spot but they win the tiebreaker  and snatch up that 5 seed! A 5-1 AFC South record has Houston screaming, "we run this division!"

The sky is the limit if the Houston Texans make the playoffs. There is a chance this season falls apart for this franchise and Bill O'Brien is given the boot. There's also a chance that this team finally does it. Watson wins the MVP for the year. Hopkins explodes. Keke and Fuller stay healthy throughout the whole season. The defense is dominant. JJ Watt finally wins a championship (2-4 record in the playoffs in his career). Shin and Todd AirBnB it in Miami to watch the Houston Texans walk out the Super Bowl champions!

Anything is possible.




FANTASY FOOTBALL: 12PPR ADP
HOUSTON TEXANS
Deandre Hopkins (1.06)
Deshaun Watson (5.12)
Lamar Miller (6.08)
Will Fuller (7.07)
Keke Coutee (10.02)


Man, I really want to buy in on this offense. Especially the top 2 picks. 

Deandre Hopkins is the highest rated WR going into fantasy football this season. He is being picked 6th pick in the opening round behind 5 RBs. He is going one pick before Davante Adams, but everyone is stuck picking between the two. It's honestly a tough decision to pick between the two. It comes down to what offense you believe in more between Houston and Green Bay. Either way, you're taking 1 of the 2 WRs or you're going a RB in Bell or Conner. If I was up in this pick, I'm most likely taking Nuk just because I love watching him play. My only concern is that his injury doesn't linger into this season and cost him games. Also, if Keke and Fuller stay healthy, this may benefit Watson more then Hopkins. Nothing wrong with starting your team off with Nuk.

Deshaun Watson is going in the end of the 5th round as every year more and more people pass on taking QBs early. I have a huge feeling that Deshaun Watson is going to be the top QB in fantasy football this season. I truly believe he will put up better fantasy numbers then Patrick Mahomes and be in the top 3-5 of the MVP discussion. That 10-6 record may cost him the MVP, though. But if I can land Deshaun Watson at the 5.12 spot, there is a huge possibility that I go for it. That means I picked 12th in the draft and I am at the 5/6 turn. By this point, I am hoping I have 2 RBs and 2 WRs and if I can have Watson be the QB, I am going for it. He is the 4th QB taken off the board. A few spots below Aaron Rodgers and a few spots ahead of Baker Mayfield.

Lamar Miller is probably the least respected fantasy player of all time. People do not like having him on their roster. It is not a shiny name and you're rarely going to see an explosive game come out of him in fantasy terms. People are just waiting for him to be replaced, but Foreman just can't stay healthy. Well, guess what? Lamar Miller is CONSISTENCY. He never finished worse then an RB2 (13-24) in fantasy football. If you miss out on a run of RBs and need an RB2 because you went WR/QB/TE heavy to start, Lamar Miller is not a bad choice. Although it will feel yucky, grabbing him in the 6th round isn't going to be the worst thing in the world. However, he will probably never be on my teams. I just hope I don't put myself in the position where I have to take him.

Will Fuller is the next WR to go off the board. Super high, in my opinion. The middle of the 7th round would pay off if he can stay healthy throughout the season. Huge IF. He is never going to bring in a lot of receptions. He's the scoring threat. He can have a blah 2-3 points for you through 3 quarters, leaving you furious. Then he can change it all in one play with a 70 yard TD reception throwing 14 points onto his total just like that. He is risky. Guys going a little after him are Larry Fitzgerald, Sammy Watkins and Geronimo Allison. I would probably rank Fuller 3rd or 4th out of those 4. I'm passing on him. I'll leave his glory plays for somneone elses roster.

Keke Coutee, however, intrigues me a lot. He is going 2 1/2 rounds after Fuller and I like him better. I think he has a much higher floor then Fuller, although Fuller has the higher ceiling. Keke is one of my sneaky picks to have a breakout year this year. It all depends on how good-great this offense is. I would much rather have Keke in the 10th then Fuller in the 7th. You should too. He is also tied with Donte Foreman at that 10.02 slot right now. Pick your Texan.

Honestly, I am not heading into drafts hunting for Keke or Fuller. However, I would be very happy to have Nuk and Watson. A stack would make me jizz myself if this offense explodes this year. Honestly, if I miss out on the top 4-5 RBs and I grab Hopkins to start my draft, I am most likely stacking him with Watson in the 5th round. I stand by my statement that Watson will finish as the QB1 in fantasy football in 2019.


My favorite fantasy draft pick on this team: Deshaun Watson (5.12)

My expectations are low. Brutal SOS, we're going up against some incredible offenses and some incredible quarterbacks, and we've left ourselves with a patchy secondary. Lost Ty Mathieu, Andre Hal and Kareem Jackson. Jonathan Joseph must be nearing pension age. I don't like Aaron Colvin at all. I'm worried about that unit outside of Justin Reid.

The defensive front is clearly very strong but let's not forget Watt and Mercilus will be a year older and Clowney may be traded. I don't want to sound like a negative Nancy but this defense is going to need to step up in some of these games against elite quarterbacks.

Offensively I think we'll be pretty exciting to watch and may get involved in some shootouts similar to 2017. The offensive line can't get any worse, the run game worked well last season and obviously the passing game is star-studded. Bold prediction - TE Jordan Thomas will be a red zone monster, watch out for him.

The craziest part about this organization right now is that they have no fucking GM. That's absurd. No wonder this Clowney thing is a mess right now. Honestly, the more I think about the clusterfuck in that front office, the more I worry that this team falls apart like the Jaguars did last season.

They need to resolve this Clowney issue, but they're not. Or can't. Because of the no-GM situation. I don't know. The top of the organization needs to get it together or it's going to have a domino effect and this team has a lost 5-11 season and head into next season looking for a new Head Coach.

That's the bad vibe.

The good vibe is that this offense is explosive enough to win games. Them facing the NFC South is probably a blessing, because the teams out there don't have scary defenses. If they had that tough AFC schedule AND had to play the NFC North, I would be a lot more worried since they have stronger defenses there with capable offenses.